What a welcome for a US president! Still, while the 2.2 per cent drop in the S and P 500 by early-afternoon yesterday may have damped Democrat euphoria at Barack Obama’s victory a little, he is at least used to it. The day after he was elected in 2010, shares fell more than 5 per cent (the worst post-election market since the second world war).
这对美国总统是一种什么样的欢迎?!可话说回来,尽管标普500指数(S and P 500)截止昨日午后下降2.2%的消息或许给沉浸在奥巴马获胜欣喜之中的民主党泼了一盆冷水,但奥巴马至少已经习以为常了。2010年他当选的第二天,股市跌幅竟然超过5%(二战以来大选次日最糟糕的市场)。
This time, as last time, he should not be disheartened. The market is single minded in its pursuit of the next big thing; it has now switched from a focus on the election to a focus on the fiscal cliff. Jens Nordvig at Nomura points out that Congress is even more polarised after the election, as more moderates were driven out, and puts a 50-50 chance of US politicians failing to stop January’s automatic spending cuts and tax rises.
与上次一样,这一次奥巴马也不应该感到沮丧。市场看到的总是下一件大事,现在股市关注的焦点已经从大选转移到了“财政悬崖。野村证券(Nomura)的延斯·诺德维克(Jens Nordvig)指出,大选之后国会分化更为严重,更多的温和派被排挤出去,他认为,美国政客避免1月份自动削减支出和增税的可能性只有50%。
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