首先需要指出的是,这种对经历和期望的诉求正是20世纪中期科幻小说的诉求,因为这对于那些有志成为企业家或经济学家的人来说可能是重要的,这种诉求既不包括严肃的技术预测也没有约束性的承诺,它就是一种通过对当时在速度、力量和距离方面的进步所做的推断的庆祝。喜欢汽车的,从中发现了会飞的汽车;喜欢战舰的,从中读出了太空巡洋舰。
Technological progress does not require all technologies to moveforward in lock step, merely that some important technologies are always movingforward. Passenger aeroplanes have not improved much over the past 40 years interms of their speed. Computers have sped up immeasurably. Unless you can showthat planes matter more, to stress the stasis over the progress is simply amatter of taste.
技术进步不要求所有的技术同步向前,它仅仅要求某些重要的技术总是向前发展。以速度而论,客运飞机在过去40年中没有多大改进。计算机速度的提高无法衡量。除非你能够向人们表明飞机更有用,不然的话,强调进步的停滞只是人们的喜好而已。
Mr Gordon and Mr Cowen do think that now-mature technologies such asair transport have mattered more, and play down the economic importance ofrecent innovations. If computers and the internet mattered to the economyrather thanmerely as rich resources for intellectual and cultural exchange, as experiencedon Mr Cowen s popular blog, Marginal Revolutiontheir effect wouldbe seen in the figures. And it hasn t been.
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