Britain is relatively insulated. Although it is a net oil importer, it has significant resources inthe North Sea. Any losses to the consumer from dearer fuel are partially offset by gains inthe oil and gas sector itself. But even in Britain the net effect of price increases to date couldbe more damaging than usual, particularly since they reduce the odds of sharply fallinginflation. Lower inflation, and a rise in real incomes, are one reason British policymakershoped to see the economy improve this year.
英国相对安全。尽管英国是一个石油净进口国,但它在北海有明显的资源优势,消费者在昂贵的燃料上产生的任何损失都能被石油和天然气行业增加的收益部分抵消。即便如此,油价上涨对英国的影响也比以往更为不利, 特别是因为它们减少了通货膨胀急剧下降的可能性。低通货膨胀和增加的实际收入,是英国决策者所希望看到的今年经济改善的一个方面。
Barrels, no laughs
百不一贷
In emerging economies the picture is even more disparate. Oil exporters, from Venezuelato the Middle East, are gaining; oil importers will see worsening trade balances. In 2008 and2011, the main effect of dearer fuel in emerging economies was on inflation. That is less ofa worry now, largely because food prices, which make up a much bigger part of mostemerging economies consumption basket, are stable.
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