The proportion of wobbly mortgages in Spain looks low when compared with those inIreland. There the central bank and BlackRock, an asset manager, reckoned that actuallifetime losses on residential mortgages would range from 7% to 12% . Even if losses in Spain are far below those in Ireland, banks are still likely to need a lotmore capital.
与爱尔兰相比,西班牙银行的抵押贷款坏账比例看上去较低。爱尔兰央行以及某资金管理机构BlackRock认为,住房抵押贷款的实际寿命损失在7%至12%之间。即使西班牙的贷款损失远低于爱尔兰,银行们仍然可能需要更多的资金。
Some investors reckon 60 billion-80 billion Euro is required to restore confidence. The IMFis coy about giving a number, but it too thinks more capital is needed, perhaps inasset-management companies set up to look after dud loans. But attracting private capitalwill be tough. That would pass the problem to the Spanish government, whose finances areunder scrutiny, or to Europe s bail-out funds, whose firepower is more limited thanadvertised.
有些投资者认为重塑信心需要600-800亿英镑。对此谨慎的国际货币基金组织未给出具体数字,但它也认为需要更多的资金,也许正是那些用来监管不良贷款的资产管理公司需要更多的资金。但是吸引私人资本将会很难。这将会把问题转嫁给已接受财政审查的西班牙政府,或是火力比宣传的更为有限的欧洲纾困基金。
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