去年12月,奥巴马与共和党达成协议延长小布什的税收减免政策,并颁布了新的政策,这使得专家对今年经济增长的预测达到3%-4%。但如今经济恢复已经长达两年之久,公认的增长率为2.6%。这一增长率仅仅略高于美国的长期潜能,但若想降低失业率,还是力道不足。当然,对于银行以及家庭来说,后危机时代最重要的事即减少债务,这意味着经济V型的回升几乎不可能。即便是这样,现在的状况也算是糟糕的了。
Economists have found themselves repeatedly making excuses. First it was the snowstorms. Then it was Japans earthquake, tsunami and nuclear disaster which crimped the supply of parts to car assembly plants in America. Then, as the snow melted, floods ravaged Arkansas, Mississippi, Missouri and Tennessee, and tornadoes battered Alabama and Missouri. America has suffered five incidents of extreme weather this year, each inflicting at least $1 billion in damage.
经济学家们发现自己不停的找借口。最开始是暴风雪。然后是日本的地震、台风,还有影响供应美国汽车组装工厂配件的核灾难。后来,由于冰雪融化,洪水袭击了阿肯色、密西西比、密苏里、田纳西,而且阿拉巴马和密苏里也遭遇龙卷风。美国今年已经经历了5场极端天气,每一场都会带来至少10亿美元的损失。
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