The special election to fill the Craigslist congressmans emptyseat will take place on May 24th. Jane Corwin, a wealthy conservative member of the stateAssembly, should on past form be a shoo-in, but recent polls indicate she has an unexpectedbattle on her hands. According to one recent poll Kathy Hochul, a Democrat, is just a fewpoints behind Ms Corwin, and another shows her in the lead. Jack Davis, the self-financedindependent tea-party candidate, is also performing solidly in the polls. At first glance itappears that Mr Davis, a former Republican who also ran for office as aDemocrat, may be siphoning support away from Ms Corwin.
克雷格清单事件导致国会议员职位空缺,这次特别选举将在5月24日举行。简??科温是纽约州参议院的一名富有的保守派成员,之前她很被看好,不过最近选票对她不利,这意味着她要投身到意料之外的选票交战中。据最近的一次选票显示,民主党人凯西??胡赫尔选票仅次于科温一些,另一次选票中显示胡赫尔居于领先地位。自行筹资的独立党派茶会选手杰克??戴维斯在近日的投票中的成绩也表现出强劲之势。戴维斯此前是一名共和党员,同时也作为民主党的候选人参加竞选,结果当然失败了,乍看之下,他似乎是通过虹吸原理,从科温那里赢来选票。
But the fall in Ms Corwins support could be more because of her endorsement of Paul Ryans proposal to replace Medicare, the public health-care scheme for the elderly, with diminishing government subsidies for private insurance. Her opponent, Ms Hochul, has made Medicare the main issue of her campaign. We can alter the national debate with one election, she says. Voting for her, she claims, would send a message to Republicans in Washington. She has received the backing of the National Committee to Preserve Social Security and Medicare, which previously campaigned for the Republican who represented the area until 2008. Her message is going down well in the district, where almost a quarter of voters are over 65 and almost two-thirds are over 45.
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