大学英语四级考试简答题最后一周冲刺训练_大学英语阅读

大学英语四级考试简答题最后一周冲刺训练

　　The question now appears to be not whether there will be a war，but when. The answer is that in war，as other matters，timing is all.

　　For US President George W. Bush that timing will be dictated by the demands of a domestic political agenda. With the economy in the middle of what now looks like a doubled ip recession，Bush has been left with only two policies he can sell as a success: the war against terrorism and the war against Saddam.

　　The war against terrorism is a problematic one. Afghanistan remains a mess. Osama bin Laden and many of his senior lieutenants remain unaccounted for.

　　Declaring victory would not only be precipitous but dangerous. Which leaves Saddam?

　　But when to act? Current thinking on both sides of the Atlantic is that Bush will not want to risk a war that does not begin until well into next year，as that would bring him too close to the time when he wants to be engaged in his campaign for reelection. That leaves this winter.

　　Finally，there remains the question of what form the war might take. Insiders have insisted that the absolute minimum force requirement must be three heavy armoured divisions plus an air assault division. A likely force size，say experts，is 100,000 to 120,000 troops，probably launched from Kuwait and Qatar.