Media reported last weekend that pork prices had continued downwards for 10 days, falling to as low as less than 10 yuan ($1.54) per kg. The news shocked me somewhat, for pork price hike was not a too distant memory for me. I searched online information about the market and found that the prices had remained high for more than a year.
Pork prices began to rise in May last year and the average price once reached 21 yuan per kg while a certain kind of pork product peaked at 28 yuan. The price stayed at around 20 yuan until August this year when it began to fall.
As an urban consumer of farm produce, I certainly rejoice over the price dive. Meanwhile, however, I am a little worried about pig farmers, especially those individual raisers in the countryside. They began to raise more pigs last year when the short supply triggered the price hike of pork. And it was exactly because of their cutting down on pig-raising in the previous year that led to the short supply last year. Now it is the time for them to reap the returns for their last year's investment but the prices fell.
Price hikes trigger increases in pig-raising; more pigs cause the price to descend, which leads to reduction in pig-raising, which in turn pushes up the prices. The cycles continue endlessly. Economists tell us that this is the market rule.
As a layman about economics, I certainly would not challenge this theory. But I cannot help wondering if it is really justifiable and who are to blame for the losses the individual farmers have suffered.
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