So, with the benefit of the hundreds of academic papers from scientists around the world, what should a Times reader who holds a ticket do? The research tells us that, if you assume everybody else will use the same strategy as you, then the best you can do is to throw a dice (骰子): deciding whether or not to keep the ticket according to a probability determined by demand for tickets and price. However, working out the probability is tough and most fans, without the benefit of minority game theory, won't be tossing a dice.

　　There is one huge factor in the Michael Jackson problem which isn't in the standard El Fatol bar problem. Hype (炒作). If the owners of the El Farol bar distributed fliers (传单) announcing it was going to be quiet next week, then it would be a safe bet to stay at home with a glass of wine. So my advice would be to read the newspapers and decide what to do on the basis of the experts' advice. If all the articles you read say the tickets will be collectors' items then ask for a refund, and if they all accuse AEG of cheating crazy fans then take the ticket. It was, after all, designed by Michael Jackson.

　　17．In the Para. 1, the underlined part “the King of Pop” refers to ______.

　　A．El Farol

　　B．Michael Jackson

　　C．A ticket holderD．A souvenir keeper

　　18．The burning problem Michael Jackson ticket holders have to deal with is ______.

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