A widening generational divide finds Tibetan leaders unable to resolve growing dissatisfaction among younger Tibetans, the officials said.
In February, following the ninth round of talks in Beijing between the Tibetan government in exile, known as the Central Tibetan Administration , and Chinese officials, US diplomats predicted that the Chinese governments international credibility on human rights will continue to decline as Tibetans gain further access to media tools.
In a section of the cable entitled A militant Shangri-La?, a reference to the fictional mythical Himalayan kingdom, the officials explained: Their frustrations effect on the Tibetan movement could be exacerbated by the passage of time, as the Dalai Lamas increasing age inevitably slows down his gruelling travel schedule and his potential ability to continue to capture the worlds attention on his peoples plight.
A final point, made repeatedly by officials, is that the Indian governments policy towards the Tibetans in exile is likely to be decided by public sentiment.
In one confidential cable of March 2008, an official told Washington that Shiv Shankar Menon, the current Indian national security adviser and then Indias top diplomat, had explained to the US ambassador that though the Tibetan movement has the sympathy of the Indian public, and India has been a generally supportive home to tens of thousands of Tibetans, including the Dalai Lama, for nearly 50 years ... the tacit agreement that Tibetans are welcome in India as long as they dont cause problems is being challenged at a time when Indias complex relationship with Beijing is churning with border issues, rivalry for regional influence, a growing economic interdependence, the nascent stages of joint military exercises, and numerous other priorities.
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