16. Demographic trends that indicate an increase in the number of college-aged
people over the next ten years lead the author to predict an improved job market for all
people seeking college-level teaching positions in their academic disciplines. Moreover,
the author argues that since Waymarsh University students with advanced degrees had
an especially difficult time finding teaching jobs in the past, these trends portend better
times ahead for Waymarsh graduates. This argument is problematic in three important
respects.
First, the author assumes that an increase in the number of college-aged people
over the next decade will necessarily result in an increase in the number of people who
attend college during this period. While this is a reasonable assumption, it is by no
means a certainty. For example, a world war or economic depression in the next decade
would certainly nullify this expectation.
Second, even if we grant the preceding assumption, we must also consider the
additional assumption that increased university enrollments will lead to an increase in
teaching positions in all fields. However, it might turn out that some teaching specialties
are in greater demand than others in the future, resulting in a disproportionate number of
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