与此同时,失业率从8.9%下降到8.8%。 如今,它已在四个月下跌了整整一个百分点,这是自1984年年初以来无与伦比的壮举,也是奥巴马一定要指出来的事实。毫无疑问,如奥巴马一样,里根在其第一任期之初经历了严重的经济衰退,这让他的支持率一落千丈,并使得共和党在中期选举中丢失议席。但到1984年创造就业机会滚滚上升,里根轻而易获得举重新选举。
A closer look at the data, however, illustrates why the economy is less of a tailwind for MrObama than it was for the Gipper. Unemployment is falling far faster than the health of theeconomy can explain. In the four months during which unemployment dropped a percentagepoint in 1983-84, non-farm payrolls leapt by 1.6m. In the last four months they haveadvanced a mere 630,000. The survey of households that yields the unemployment tallyshows a much bigger gain in employment than the survey of employer payrolls, but still lessthan in 1984.
但是仔细观察数据就会发现奥巴马执政期间经济不如里根顺利了。失业率下降的速度远远快于经济健康可以解释清楚的速度。1983-1984年间失业率下降一个百分点的四个月间,非农事业人数猛降了160万。但在过去四个月,他们仅仅增长63万。对于失业率的人口普查显示就业率大大增加了,但仍然少于 1984年。
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