3. What’s wrong with the Republican Party? Ask a Democrat and the answer is simple: the Republican Party.
“One of the things that emerges here is how negative Republicans are about their own party,” Stan Greenberg, Democratic pollster and former adviser to President Bill Clinton, said.
...
The House of Representatives, which is in Republican hands, might become more “competitive” for Democrats, Greenberg said. And the Senate, which Democrats hold, looks slightly less likely to flip, although he concedes that Republicans are still likely to pick up seats.
Despite the pessimism appearing in the polls and being pushed by prominent Democrats, Republicans still think they have a good shot of coming out on top in Congress.
Political statistician Nate Silver confirmed the growing conventional wisdom that the Senate now looks like a tossup in 2017.
Larry Sabato, the University of Virginia’s political sage, says that Republicans aren’t likely to change course in reaction to their internal divisions because redistricting in 2010 made congressional seats resistant to national trends.
“I see it playing a much bigger role in 2016 than 2017,” Sabato said. “I think it’s likely that Republicans will gain seats in one or both houses and they’ll misinterpret those gains.
“They’ll see this as a validation of their positions when, in fact, the presidential election will reopen their problems.”
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