To restore domestic and international confidence, China needs several policy changes at once: much easier domestic monetary policy; more open international capital markets; a freely floating, but not collapsing, exchange rate; and a recapitalised domestic financial system. If such a package were announced in a transparent and coherent manner, then an orderly drain on the reserves could come to be viewed as part of the solution, not part of the problem. But China’s economic policy regime is not there yet.
为了恢复国内、国际信心,中国需要同时进行多项政策调整:比目前宽松得多的国内货币政策;更开放的国际化资本市场;自由浮动、但不会崩溃的汇率;对国内金融体系进行资本重组。若能以透明和有条理的方式公布这样的一揽子政策,那么外汇储备的有序消耗最终有望被视为解决方案的一部分,而非问题的一部分。但就目前而言,中国的经济政策体制还没有到位。
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