其次,不具备新冷战的一般条件。上世纪40年代后期冷战发生时,美国与苏联几乎没有经济、文化和社会联系。后来两个超级大国建立了北约和华约,以及西方经济集团和经互会。现在的世界不再分成两个对立的阵营。整个世界都意识到,新冷战不仅有反作用,而且是灾难性的。全球化世界中的新冷战将为更危险的恐怖主义、极端主义和分裂主义提供温床,加剧社会的分裂和对抗。而且,新冷战会打破全球生产链。与上世纪40年代后期世界在对立的意识形态下分裂不同,如今国际社会绝大多数成员寻求的是进一步发展经济和改善生活。
Secondly, there are no general conditions for a new Cold War. When the Cold War took place in the late 1940s, the United States and the Soviet Union had few economic, cultural, and social contacts. Later on the two superpowers built up NATO and the Warsaw Pact, as well as the Western economic bloc and the Council for Mutual Economic Aid (Comecon). The present world is no longer being divided into two confrontational camps. The world as a whole realizes that a new Cold War is not only counter-productive but catastrophic. A new Cold War in the globalized world would provide a hot-bed to more dangerous terrorism, extremism and secessionism, and exacerbate social division and confrontation. Moreover, a new Cold War will break up the chains of global production. Unlike the late 1940s when the world was divided along confrontational ideologies, the great majority of the international community is for further development and a better life.
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