放眼未来,中欧经贸合作前景广阔。中国经济保持6.5%左右的中高速增长,正处在消费升级和产业升级的重要阶段,对欧洲高品质消费品、先进技术设备、优质服务的需求不断增加。欧洲经济回暖,居民消费稳定增长,基础设施建设投入加大,也将为中国企业提供新的商机。欧盟对华投资仅占对外投资存量的4%,中国投资也只占欧盟吸收外资总额的2%,这与双方经济体量并不相称,投资合作还有巨大潜力。
Looking ahead, economic and trade cooperation between China and Europe promises a broad prospect. With a medium-high growth rate of around 6.5 percent, the Chinese economy has entered a crucial stage of consumption and industrial upgrading, leading to growing demands for high-quality consumer goods, advanced technology and equipment and quality services from Europe. Meanwhile, improved economic performance, expanding household consumption and increased infrastructure investment in Europe will generate new opportunities for Chinese businesses. The EU’ s investment in China only accounts for 4 percent of the EU’s total overseas investment, and Chinese investment in the EU only takes up 2 percent of all FDI flowing to the EU. This is not commensurate with the size of the two economies and spells out enormous potential for further investment cooperation.
中欧经贸关系中合作与竞争并存,但合作共赢是主流。与过去相比,中国虽然经济规模大了,但产业总体上仍处于全球价值链中低端。双方互补互利的合作格局没有改变,改变的只是合作的方式。过去的合作基本是“欧洲投资+中国制造”,现在这种方式依然是主要的,又增加了“中国投资+欧洲制造”、“三方合作”等方式,开辟了“一带一路”建设新领域,双方利益交汇点更多、相互依存度更高。当然,中欧之间也有竞争的一面,但建立在共同利益基础上的竞争并不是坏事。中欧要在合作与竞争中共同发展,使两大市场“珠联璧合”,为世界经济发展注入动力。
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