To be clear, Democrats will use allegations of corruption as a campaign tool in midterm elections regardless of Trump's decision regarding Mueller. Their base will love it, and Trump voters will largely ignore it. That's the simple reality of our polarized political environment. At this point, criminal allegations about Trump are largely speculative.
Firing Mueller would be a game changer.
Democrats gain instant credibility on the corruption front and a blank slate to imagine it. They'll claim that Trump fired Mueller because of what the investigation discovered and explain that we may never know how bad it is as long as Republicans are in charge. In politics, perception is everything, and the optics of firing Mueller couldn't be worse.
Trump might attempt to stem political backlash by suggesting that Mueller is on a political witch-hunt, but that's unlikely to hold much water.
Mueller is a George W. Bush appointee that Barack Obama retained during his administration. He is so widely respected by both Democrats and Republicans that Congress created a special two-year term to allow his continued service beyond the 10-year term limit imposed on FBI directors.
Moreover, Rod Rosenstein, a Republican-nominated Deputy Attorney General who worked on the Whitewater investigation into President Bill Clinton, appointed Mueller as special counsel.
That's hardly the profile of a political hack.
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