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Political horse trading

This is despite preliminary figures showing that deputy president Kgalema Motlanthe is doing well in five of the nine ANC provinces.

So far, more than 65% of the ANC branches across South Africa have completed their nominations. Branches have been given until the end of November to complete nominations. Allegations of vote-rigging, fraud and intimidation have marred the party's nomination process….

Although Zuma’s camp believes it has larger numbers, Motlanthe’s supporters have argued that he was enjoying support from the majority of provinces, which would be a psychological boost.

“If more than half of the country says no to Zuma, it would put a lot of pressure on him,” said the pro-Motlanthe ANC leader. “It might create serious problems for his campaign. It’s a psychological blow.”

A Gauteng provincial executive committee member believes Motlanthe will emerge victorious. “Gauteng is likely to nominate four deputy presidents: Tokyo Sexwale, Mathews Phosa, Nkosazana Dlamini-Zuma and Motlanthe. We are also likely to nominate Fikile Mbalula, Joel Netshitenzhe and Mantashe for the position of secretary general. Slates are dead. Kgalema has succeeded in killing the politics of slates.

“We are going to see a lot of horse-trading days before the conference starts. KwaZulu-Natal is using [premier] Zweli Mkhize [for the position of treasurer] as a bargain ticket. The pro-Zuma camp in Limpopo wants [deputy minister of correctional services Ngoako] Ramatlhodi in the top six, Free State wants [premier] Ace Magashule to take over as ANC chairperson and Gauteng wants Paul Mashatile as treasurer.”