这个微博客的分析程序是由印第安纳大学信息和计算系的教授约翰·保伦完成的。他用这个来预测纽约股市的道琼斯指数,并且在上个10月份达到了87.6%的准确率。
Mr Bollen explained how his software can give fund managers the edge: ‘We recorded the sentiment of the online community, but we couldn't prove if it was correct. So we looked at the Dow Jones to see if there was a correlation. We believed that if the markets fell, then the mood of people on Twitter would fall.
保伦先生解释了他的软件是怎样能给那些基金专家提供帮助的:“我们记录那些在线社区上的人的情绪变化,但是我们却不能证明那些是不是正确的。所以我们就主义者道琼斯指数,看看他们之间是不是有关系。我们相信如果市场不太景气,那么,微博客上的人的情绪也相应的会进入低潮期。”
‘But we realised it was the other way round - that a drop in the mood or sentiment of the online community would precede a fall in the market.'
“我们也同样意识到微博客上人们情绪的低落与市场的不景气相比,到来的更早。”
Paul Hawtin, Derwent's founder and fund manager, said: ‘Investors have always accepted that markets are driven by sentiment, mainly fear and greed. When people are greedy the markets go up and when they are fearful they go down.
达文特的创建者和基金的经理保罗·哈丁,说“投资者已经都接受说市场其实是被人们的情绪所左右的,主要是害怕和贪心。当人们普遍存在渴望的时候,市场就会呈现上升趋势;而当人们心存恐惧的时候,市场就会呈下降趋势。”
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