幸运的是,2017年大米供应充足,价格稳定,但米价也可能因为其他谷类价格的上涨而走高。2007-08年,大米市场并不短缺,但价格却出现大幅上涨。透明度不高、进口国与出口国未经协调的单边行动,以及媒体的报道,都产生了催生恐慌的效果。
With world prices of cereals rising, the competition between the food, feed and fuel sectors for crops such as maize, sugar and oilseeds is likely to intensify. One way to alleviate some of the tension would be to lower or temporarily suspend the mandates on biofuels. At the moment, the renewable energy production in the US is reported to have reached 15.2bn gallons in 2017, for which it used the equivalent of some 121.9m tonnes or about 40 per cent of US maize production. An immediate, temporary suspension of that mandate would give some respite to the market and allow more of the crop to be channelled towards food and feed uses.
随着全球谷物价格攀升,粮食、饲料和燃料行业对玉米、糖和油籽等作物的争夺可能升级。暂时停止关于生物燃料的法令或者降低其执行力度,是缓解部分紧张的一个办法。目前,2017年美国这一可再生能源的产量据报道已达到152亿加仑,消耗的玉米约为1.219亿吨,占到美国玉米总产量的40%。立即暂停执行上述联邦法令,将为市场提供一定的喘息空间,让更多的玉米流向粮食和饲料用途。
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