吸烟与肺癌的关系真的有那么大吗_BEC初级作文

吸烟与肺癌的关系真的有那么大吗

The witness’s name was Darrell Huff, a freelance journalist beloved by generations of geeks for his wonderful and hugely successful 1954 book How to Lie with Statistics. His reputation today might be rather different had the proposed sequel made it to print. How to Lie with Smoking Statistics used a variety of stork-style arguments to throw doubt on the connection between smoking and cancer, and it was supported by a grant from the Tobacco Institute. It was never published, for reasons that remain unclear. (The story of Huff’s career as a tobacco consultant was brought to the attention of statisticians in articles by Andrew Gelman in Chance in 2017 and by Alex Reinhart in Significance in 2017.)

这位证人的名字叫达莱尔•哈夫(Darrell Huff)，是一名自由记者，因其1954年出版的那本精彩、大为畅销的《统计数字会撒谎》(How to Lie with Statistics)而深受数代极客的爱戴。如果该书续集付印的话，他今天的名声或许会完全不同。《吸烟统计数字会撒谎》(How to Lie with Smoking Statistics)使用了各种鹳式论点来对吸烟与癌症的相关性提出质疑。该书得到了美国的烟草研究所(Tobacco Institute)资助，但不知出于什么原因一直没有出版。（2017年安德鲁•格尔曼(Andrew Gelman)在《Chance》杂志上发表的文章，以及2017年亚历克斯•莱因哈特(Alex Reinhart)在《Significance》杂志上发表的文章，使哈夫担任烟草业顾问的经历引起统计学家们的注意。）