奥地利数学家算出世界杯冠军曾成功预测西班牙捧杯_BEC初级作文

奥地利数学家算出世界杯冠军曾成功预测西班牙捧杯

夺冠几率位居巴西队和德国队之后的是另外两支球队：西班牙队（12.5%）和法国队（12.1%）。

The most likely semi-final pairings was therefore Brazil vs. France at 9.4 percent and Germany vs. Spain at 9.2 percent.

因此最有可能出现的半决赛对阵局势是：巴西队对法国队（9.4%），德国队对西班牙队（9.2%）。

Both Brazil and Germany were deemed the more likely winners of these matches.

这两场比赛中，巴西队和德国队获胜几率都更大。

England was picked out as the seventh most likely team to win, with a probability of 4.9 percent.

英格兰队在获胜几率榜单中排名第七（4.9%）。

The bookmakers’ odds saw the host country Russia as the twelfth-best team overall.

根据赔率计算，东道主俄罗斯队获胜几率排在第12位。

While the probability that Russia will reach the quarter-finals was an impressive 28.9 percent, their chances of winning the tournament were just 2.1 percent.

尽管俄罗斯队打进四分之一决赛的几率高达28.9%，但捧杯几率仅有2.1%。

‘Naturally, the bookmakers want to earn money with their betting offers, and hence they set their odds as realistically as possible, taking into account not only historical data but also the tournament draw and short-term events such as injured players,’ Professor Zeileis said.