"This isn't helped by May losing three members of her government in less than ideal circumstances. She needs to get some distance from those departures and one way to do that is to reshuffle some of the junior ministers and maybe move a big name or two."
Crines said he believes it is possible some big names may be moved but are likely to remain within the government.
"This is because sacking ministers gives the appearance of difficulties. To send out the right message of leadership competence she can only replace any big names who choose to go on their own free will... Also bringing back any of the older big names would likely be a mistake as it sends the message that the Party lacks younger talent," he said.
Crines says a reshuffle at the start of the New Year tends to strengthen the party leader.
"This is because it appears fresh, new, and more likely to give the government a renewed sense of purpose. In May's case she needs to keep the Conservative Party happy. It is a question of balancing the ideological divisions, issues of competence, media profile, and social background. If she is able to put together a strong team then it will help solidify her position further. If, however she agitates the backbenchers and activists then it could make leading the party harder."
Crines said following the June election when May lost her overall majority, she was significantly weakened but not destroyed.
【国际英语资讯:British PM prepares to reshuffle ministers but dont expect shocks, say experts】相关文章:
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