虽然人们尚不清楚流感的季节性成因,但其传播方式却有据可查。流感与新冠肺炎的传播方式基本相同:病毒通过在封闭空间和人群中近距离咳嗽、飞沫溅射和打喷嚏传播。由于上述原因,保持社交距离的措施对防控流感和新冠肺炎都是有效的。
When community spread of Covid-19 began in the United States in March, widespread shutdowns shaved “four to six weeks” off the flu season in 2020, said Dr Richard Kennedy, co-director of the Mayo Clinic’s vaccine research lab.
美国梅奥诊所疫苗研究实验室的联合负责人理查德·肯尼迪博士说,新冠病毒今年3月开始在美国社区传播时,大范围的封锁措施令2020年的流感季缩短了“4到6周”。
That was “probably as a direct result of the social distancing and the mask-wearing and the shutdown,” said Kennedy. A similar phenomenon is taking place in the southern hemisphere, where winter flu season is now tapering off. Countries such as Chile have seen historically low influenza transmission.
肯尼迪说,这“可能是保持社交距离、佩戴口罩和封锁的直接结果”。南半球也出现了类似现象,目前那里的冬季流感季正接近尾声。智利等国的流感传播率创历史最低水平。
taper off:逐渐停止;逐渐减少
“Will we see that same thing up here? The answer is, if we wear our masks and social distancing, yes. If we remain shut down, yes,” said Kennedy. “But I don’t know if Americans are going to do any or all of the above.”
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