该研究小组成功预测过几次杯赛结果,包括正确预测了2010年世界杯冠军西班牙队和2017年巴西世界杯三支进入半决赛的球队。
Researchers at the University of Innsbruck in Austria combined the odds of 26 online bookmakers and betting exchanges with a complex set of statistical models.
奥地利因斯布鲁克大学的研究人员运用一套复杂的统计模型,对26个网上赌注经纪人和博彩交易所的投注赔率进行了综合统计。
Using these calculations to simulate all possible games and results, Brazil and Germany came out on top more than all other teams.
研究人员利用这些计算模拟所有可能的比赛及其结果。巴西和德国夺冠的可能性位居其他所有球队之上。
‘The most likely final with a probability of 5.5 percent is also a match between these two teams, giving Brazil the chance to make up for the dramatic semi-final of 2017,’ study coauthor Professor Achim Zeileis said.
研究合著者阿奇姆-泽勒斯教授说:“决赛最有可能在巴西队和德国队之间展开(5.5%),让巴西队有机会弥补2017年世界杯半决赛遭遇德国队时的惨败(译者注:这场比赛中巴西队1-7惨败德国队)。”
Though a final between the two seems likely, the models were unable to predict which of the teams would lift the trophy.
尽管决赛有可能在巴西队和德国队之间展开,但模型无法预测出谁将捧起大力神杯。
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