例如,中国可以把注意力集中于美国的服务出口,这相当可观。中国政府官员可能会格外注意美国在中国的文书、执照、许可证等业务。进口到中国的所有美国商品都有可能受到额外安全检查,而且也许需要数周之久。
For example, China could focus attention on American service exports, which are substantial. Government officials in China might opt to closely scrutinize paperwork, licenses, permits, and so forth, of American operations in China. All US imports of goods into China might be subjected to additional safety or security checks that might take weeks to complete.
总而言之,即使不考虑调整人民币汇率这种生硬的手段,中国仍然有很大的选择余地进行报复。
In short, China can retaliate, should it choose to do so, even without using the blunt tool of yuan recalibration.
对全球经济来说不幸的是,双方似乎没有一个明确的出口来解决它们的争端,而是选择继续加大压力,以期对方的让步。在此期间,经济方略工具箱中还有许多选项可以使用,这意味着这场冲突可能要持续一段时间。
Unfortunately for the global economy, the two sides do not seem to have a clear “off ramp” to resolve their dispute, opting instead to ramp up pressure in the hopes that the other side will concede. There are many options in the economic toolkit that might be used in the meantime, meaning this conflict is likely to continue for some time.
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