当人民币强劲升值时,用美元支付款项的中国进口企业倾向从银行借入而不是买入美元。花旗集团的贺伟晟估计,在过去十年中,中国企业向银行借入美元而产生的债务规模累计达到约8,000亿美元。
A typical strategy would involve a company depositing yuan on the mainland and using it as collateral to borrow dollars. The company would make money on the difference between the high Chinese deposit rate and the low dollarborrowing rate, also booking a gain from the yuan's appreciation against the dollar.
一个典型的操作手法是,一家公司将人民币存在内地,并将此作为抵押品向银行借入美元。这家企业能够赚取较高的人民币存款利率和较低的美元贷款利率之间的息差,同时还能从人民币对美元汇率的升值中获益。
"It had been a very profitable strategy throughout the years as the yuan appreciated steadily," Mr. He said. "Now, however, it bears the question how this "short-dollar" position would impact the market when the outlook for yuan appreciation becomes murkier."
贺伟晟说,在人民币稳步升值的那几年,这一直是一个非常有利可图的策略。但如今在人民币升值前景变得更为黯淡的情况下,这种做法受到质疑,即这种“卖空美元”的做法将如何影响市场。
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