肝病患者平均寿命为59岁,而心肺疾病、中风以及肺部疾病患者平均寿命在82岁到84岁之间。肝病已成为英国第五大杀手。和十年前相比,35岁至55岁年龄段的肝硬化患者数量翻了5番。奥本预测随着肥胖者数量的增加,情况只会愈演愈烈。
"About a third of the UK population is now obese, while one government estimate recently suggested that this figure will rise to 50% by 2050," said Oben. "Frankly, I think we will have reached that level long before then, and when we do that we will find that cirrhosis case numbers have increased steeply."
“现在肥胖者约占英国总人口的三分之一,最近政府预计,到2050年这项数据将上升到50%。但说实话,我个人认为肥胖率上涨到50%根本不需要那么长的时间,并且到时候肝硬化患者骤增也势在必然。”
Nor will cirrhosis cases be the only ones to follow in the wake of Britain's increasing obesity levels. Cancers of the oesophagus, liver, pancreas and colon are linked to obesity; cases of these are increasing and are expected to continue to rise.
肥胖程度的增加不仅会导致肝硬化。食道癌、胰脏癌、结肠癌患者也会增加,且预计将一直上涨。
"Frankly, we are reaching US levels of obesity," said Oben. "I went to work in the US in 2001 and was stunned by the numbers of obese people that came into clinics. When I came back to Britain a few years later, I discovered – to my horror – that we are catching up."
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