“We gave her this basic idea, and she did the heavy lifting,” Hamilton, a postdoctoral research fellow at the institute, told Science Daily.
该研究所博士后研究员汉密尔顿接受科学资讯网站Science Daily采访时说:“我们给了德普一些基本数据,最难做的工作都是由她来完成的。”
Hamilton said “there is remarkably little quantitative work” on what economists call company mortality, and existing theory and evidence yield contradictory answers. Some researchers think younger companies are more likely to die than older ones, while others think just the opposite.
汉密尔顿指出,就计算经济学家所说的公司死亡率而言,“现有的量化研究少的可怜”,而且目前的理论和实际证据所得出的结论相互矛盾。有些研究者认为,新公司消亡的可能性大于老公司,另一些人的看法则正好相反。
“We wanted to see if there was any kind of standard behavior or if it was just random,” Hamilton said.
他说:“我们想看看这一现象是否存在某种规律,或者说纯粹是随机事件。”
Daepp, now a graduate student at the University of British Columbia, analyzed Standard and Poor’s Compustat — a database of every publicly traded company since 1950 — using a statistical method called survival analysis. What she and her advisers found is that a company’s mortality rate was not affected by its past performance or even its products.
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