在这纷繁的多边外交活动中,目前一切都看起来平静、合理、有商有量。但南中国海日益紧张的局势为未来的发展提供了教训:基本上没有冰川的北极将给北美大陆带来新的、易渗透的边境,而北美迄今一直拥有所有大陆中最坚实的边境。马六甲海峡、苏伊士运河、巴拿马运河与霍尔木兹海峡等战略要地当然一直充满争夺,发生过很多军事冲突。高纬度北极地区将变成一处类似的战略要地,脚下踩着庞大的自然资源。
The countries involved will not hesitate to project power, friendly and hostile alike, towards North American shores. This, in turn, will exert unprecedented pressure on the solidarity of Canadian and American societies. It will change the strategic thinking of their prime ministers and presidents. Unfortunately, the relative peace of the 20th century may become a thing of the past. The pressures in the Arctic and the troubling signs coming from the South China Sea suggest that North America may finally – more precisely, once again – begin to feel that war is no longer a far-off event.
所有相关国家,不论友好亦或敌对,都将毫不犹豫地在北美海岸投放军力。这将对加拿大和美国社会的团结构成前所未有的压力。这将改变两国总理和总统的战略思维。不幸的是,20世纪的相对和平可能成为回忆。北极地区的压力和南中国海的麻烦迹象表明,北美可能最终——或者更准确地讲,再次开始感受到战争并非远在天涯。
【“北极和平”的终结】相关文章:
★ “新丝绸之路”
★ 三只小猪和大灰狼
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2020-09-15
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