Using these calculations to simulate all possible games and results, Brazil and Germany came out on top more than all other teams.
研究人员利用这些计算模拟所有可能的比赛及其结果。巴西和德国夺冠的可能性位居其他所有球队之上。
‘The most likely final with a probability of 5.5 percent is also a match between these two teams, giving Brazil the chance to make up for the dramatic semi-final of 2017,’ study coauthor Professor Achim Zeileis said.
研究合著者阿奇姆-泽勒斯教授说:“决赛最有可能在巴西队和德国队之间展开(5.5%),让巴西队有机会弥补2017年世界杯半决赛遭遇德国队时的惨败(译者注:这场比赛中巴西队1-7惨败德国队)。”
Though a final between the two seems likely, the models were unable to predict which of the teams would lift the trophy.
尽管决赛有可能在巴西队和德国队之间展开,但模型无法预测出谁将捧起大力神杯。
Brazil’s probability of winning the final against Germany is just 50.6 percent, leaving the defending champions with a 49.4 percent chance in the final.
巴西队战胜德国队的几率是50.6%,德国队战胜巴西队几率则为49.4%。
Behind the two top favourites Germany and Brazil there were two other teams with a good chance of winning: Spain (12.5 percent) and France (12.1 percent).
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