国债价格确实上涨了,与国债价格反向运动的国债收益率跌至历史低位,但标普500股票指数(Standard & Poor's 500-stock index)今年至今也已上涨近14%,高收益“垃圾债券的回报率接近10%。事实上,今年大多数的主流资产类别都实现了正收益。
Behind the solid performance: European policy makers have been proactive in dealing with the Continent's problems, the decline in China's growth rate might be coming to an end, and the U.S. economy hasn't slipped into a recession.
支撑这些坚实投资业绩的是:欧洲政策制定者积极主动应对欧洲大陆面临的各种问题,中国的经济增长率可能止跌回升,美国也没有陷入另一次经济衰退之中。
Yet substantial uncertainties remain, ranging from the Federal Reserve decision on whether to launch another round of bond buying, China's leadership transition and Europe's wobbly single-currency zone.
不过,未来还有很大的不确定性,如美联储(Federal Reserve)会不会展开新一轮的国债购买行动,中国领导层的交接问题,以及欧洲摇摇欲坠的单一货币体制等。
To top it off, the U.S. elections in November could determine whether taxes rise or fall next year, and whether budget cuts will take a big chunk out of the gross domestic product.
此外,美国11月份的大选将决定明年税收政策的起伏,以及预算削减是否会给国内生产总值(GDP)带来较大的不利影响。
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2020-09-15
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