Bilham and Bendick found that there had been periods of around five years when Earth’s rotation slowed by such an amount several times over the past century and a half. Crucially, these periods were followed by periods when the numbers of intense earthquakes increased.
比尔汉姆和本迪克发现,在过去一个多世纪里,曾经出现过多个为期约五年的地球自转减速期,每次减缓千分一秒。关键的是,地球自转减速期之后,大地震次数就会增加。
“It is straightforward,” said Bilham. “The Earth is offering us a five-year heads-up on future earthquakes.”
比尔汉姆称:“很明显,地球向提前五年给我们发了地震预警。”
This link is particularly important because Earth’s rotation began one of its periodic slowdowns more than four years ago. “The inference is clear,” said Bilham. “Next year we should see a significant increase in numbers of severe earthquakes. We have had it easy this year. So far we have only had about six severe earthquakes. We could easily have 20 a year starting in 2018.”
这个发现尤为重要,因为四年多前,地球进入了一个自转减速周期。“结论显而易见,明年我们应该会发现大地震的次数显著增加。今年一年还算平静,目前为止我们只经历了6次强烈地震。从2018年开始,我们每年很可能会经历20次大地震。”
Exactly why decreases in day length should be linked to earthquakes is unclear although scientists suspect that slight changes in the behavior of Earth’s core could be causing both effects.
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