There are several theories why the Soviet Union collapsed: imperial overstretch, economic inefficiency, ideological bankruptcy. Take your pick or mix all three.
有多种理论可以解释苏联为何解体:帝国过度扩张、经济效率低下、意识形态破产。你可以任选一种,或者把三者都算进去。
But in his book Homo Deus, the Israeli historian Yuval Noah Harari suggests a more prosaic reason: planned economies (and authoritarian regimes) are rubbish at processing data. “Capitalism won the cold war because distributed data-processing works better than centralised data-processing,” he wrote.
但是,以色列历史学家尤瓦尔?诺亚?哈拉里(Yuval Noah Harari)在《人神》(Homo Deus)一书中,提出了一个更为平凡的原因:计划经济(以及威权政府)在处理数据方面是废物。他写道:“资本主义赢得了冷战,因为分布式数据处理比集中化的数据处理更有效。”
How could any central planner sitting in Gosplan’s offices in Moscow hope to understand all the moving parts of the Soviet economy across 11 time zones?
坐在莫斯科苏联国家计划委员会(Gosplan)办公室的一位中央规划者,有什么希望弄清楚横跨11个时区的苏联经济所有不断变化的部分?
The lunacy of that system was best explained to me by Otto Latsis, the late Russian economic journalist. He recounted how he once visited a Soviet roof tile manufacturing company, which had big expansion plans. He discovered that all the investment was being sunk into a separate plant to destroy discarded, imperfect tiles to stop them being sold on the black market by the factory’s workers.
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