“UCERF3 模型为我们的领导人及公众提供了可靠的信息，为我们预测可能发生的地震，并帮助我们更好的做准备工作。

The Third Uniform California Earthquake Rupture Forecast, or UCERF3, improves upon previous models by incorporating the latest data on the state's complex system of active geological faults, as well as new methods for translating these data into earthquake likelihoods.

UCERF3即第三版统一加州地震断裂预测模型是对之前版本的更新，它整合了国家地质断层系统的最新数据，同时使用了最新的方法将这些数据转化为地震几率。

The study confirms many previous findings, sheds new light on how the future earthquakes will likely be distributed across the state and estimates how big those earthquakes might be.

该项研究证实了之前的诸多发现，对未来美国可能发生地震的区域给出了一定启示，同时预测了震级的大小。

Compared to the previous assessment issued in 2008, UCERF2, the estimated rate of earthquakes around magnitude 6.7, the size of the destructive 1994 Northridge earthquake, has gone down by about 30 percent.

与2008年的第二版统一加州地震断裂预测，UCERF3表明，发生如94年加州北岭那样的6.7级地震的概率下降了30%。

The expected frequency of such events statewide has dropped from an average of one per 4.8 years to about one per 6.3 years.

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