只要你一输入自己的性别、种族和年龄,该图表就开始发生相应变化。对于你今后的每一年,它都将显示一组潜在的死因,如传染病、癌症、血液疾病、内分泌失调、精神疾病、神经疾病、循环系统疾病、呼吸疾病、消化疾病、肌骨失常、泌尿生殖疾病、围产期死亡、先天性疾病及其他外因。并且,随着年纪的改变,各死因概率会发生对应的变化。
For every year past your current age, the chart will also show you the likeliness of having died by that point.
图表中还会显示,你活到某一个年龄的概率有多大。
The main point, which is what you'd expect, is that mortality rate is much lower in the earlier years of life than in the older years. But, if you do die at a younger age, it's much more likely due to something external rather than a disease.
可以想见的是,相较于晚年,早年死亡率要低得多。但是,早年死亡的原因大多是外部事故,而非自身疾病。
You can also look at it the other way. Shift age to the older years, and let the simulations run. You're much more likely to die of a disease rather than something external. Shift past 80 years, and it's over 40% chance the cause will be circulatory, regardless of demographic group.
你也可以换个角度看这个问题。把年龄设定得大一些,然后让模拟器运转起来。随着人们慢慢变老,死因更有可能是自身疾病,而非外部因素。不管哪类人,活至八十,死于血液循环疾病的几率都超过40%。
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2020-09-15
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