随着时间的推移,自动化总体来说进展顺利:虽然它取代了一部分工作,但也创造了新的工作。但有些专家担心目前这段时间可能有所不同。即使经济有所改善,对于大部分工人,特别是没有大学学位、做体力劳动的工人来说,工作和工资仍未恢复。
Even in the best case, automation leaves the first generation of workers it displaces in a lurch because they usually lack the skills to do new and more complex tasks, Acemoglu found in a paper published in May
阿赛莫格卢在5月发表的论文中指出,即使在最好的情况下,自动化亦令第一代被替代的工人处于困境,因为他们通常缺乏技能去执行新的、更复杂的任务。
Labor economists see ways to ease the transition for workers displaced by robots. They include retraining programs, stronger unions, more public-sector jobs, a higher minimum wage, a bigger earned-income tax credit and, for the next generation, more college degrees. Few are policies that Trump has said he will pursue.
劳动经济学家们发现了一些方法,能帮助被机器人替代的工人更好地完成过渡期,其中包括再培训计划、更强大的工会、增加公共部门工作、更高的最低工资、更大的劳动所得税抵扣,以及为下一代提供更多的大学学位。其中很少有哪一项政策是特朗普所谋求实现的。
“Just allowing the private market to automate without any support is a recipe for blaming immigrants and trade and other things, even when it’s the long impact of technology,” said Katz, who was the Labor Department’s chief economist under President Bill Clinton.
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