"This would be a new development in France's Fifth Republic," Villafranca said.
As such, the strength of Macron as president, and his ability to deliver his agenda, would depend also on the level of conflict with the new parliament.
"The issue now is whether Macron will be given a full mandate, with the backing of a strong parliamentary basis, or not," Goldstein agreed.
According to the Nomisma's chief analyst, three different scenarios could be delivered. "The first option is that Macron's party En Marche (On The Move) wins a majority of seats in parliament, and is able to govern alone: it is possible, but I do not consider it very likely," he said.
A second option would be the opposite: a victory of center-right forces in parliament, and the cohabitation with "rival" president Macron. "This seems to me the least likely solution," Goldstein said.
Then, there was a third scenario, which the analyst considered the most probable. "Macron's party wins, but gets no majority in parliament. In this case, he would have to make arrangements with other parties in order to form a coalition government."
Despite all uncertainties still lying ahead, however, Goldstein warned not to underestimate the result achieved by the independent candidate.
"Macron's victory has an historic impact that we should not understate," he said. "He bet everything on a pro-European stance, which was very honest and clear, and he won."
【国际英语资讯:News Analysis: Electing Macron, France chooses not to yield to fear, but remains fractured】相关文章:
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