"The dynamic in those two economies is radically different," he said. "There might be more challenges to the Indian market [than the Chinese market] in the next 12 months."
郭博思表示:“这两个经济体的动态截然不同。在未来12个月内,印度市场面临的挑战可能(比中国市场)更多。”
Indian economic growth has slowed, with the government recently cutting its forecast for growth in this fiscal year ending in March to 7 per cent, having steadily pared back previous projections of nearly 9 per cent.
印度经济增长已经放缓,政府最近调低了对截至3月份的这一财年的经济增长预测,经过几番下调,这一预测数字已从最早的近9%下调为7%。
"You've effectively seen foreign direct investment dry up in India," Mr Grubb said. "That feeds down into the economy with slowing growth and less liquidity available. That really impacts the rupee, and gold looks horribly expensive to local consumers."
郭博思表示:“你可以看到,印度外来直接投资已几近枯竭,这对经济产生了影响,导致增长放缓、流动性减少。这实际上对卢比汇率造成了冲击,在本地消费者眼里,现在黄金看起来非常贵。”
In China, on the other hand, Mr Grubb predicted further strength as both growth and inflation remain relatively high, driving local consumers to invest in bullion to protect their wealth. Savers have poured their money into gold because of the lack of alternative investment options in China, were bank deposits carry negative real interest rates and property prices have been sliding.
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