堪萨斯大学的研究推测,九月份纽约白昼时间的大幅骤减可能引发了季节性的情绪紊乱,导致一些交易员的避险情绪加重。此项研究发现,在纽约,九月的白昼比八月平均减少3147分钟,减幅为各月之最。
But even the researchers aren't confident in that explanation. 'From the best of my ability, I think there's something up with September. No matter how you slice it up, it's bad,' says the University of Kansas' Mark Haug, one of the authors of the report. 'It's frustrating to not have an explanation.'
但即便研究人员自己对这个解释也不太确定。该研究论文的联名作者、堪萨斯大学的马克・豪格(Mark Haug)说,“我最多只能说,九月份确实有些不同寻常的事发生。不管是什么,都很糟糕。但找不到一个合理的解释让人很抓狂。”
To be sure, September's poor performance could be due to mere chance. 'I always look at this stuff and wonder, 'Is it randomness?'' says Sam Stovall, chief equity strategist with S&P Capital IQ.
当然,九月股市表现糟糕也可能完全属于偶然事件。标普资本智商公司(S&P Capital IQ)首席股票策略师山姆・斯托瓦尔(Sam Stovall)表示,“我每每想到这件事,就忍不住纳闷,‘这会不会就是随机性的呢?’”
Mr. Stovall's theory: poor earnings guidance for the third quarter and the rest of the calendar year causes weary investors to sell shares.
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