每时每处,跨国婚姻都随着移民的增加而增加,但是比移民增长速度慢。根据Esteve先生的数据,这之间的关联大约是每两个新移民中有一个会选择跨国婚姻。这似乎意味着一半的新移民都融入了所在移民国,另一半留在了自己的原来的集体中。所以移民潮通常导致的只是跨国婚姻的更平稳的增长;这个融入的进程更慢也更复杂。
Research into four European countries by Suzana Koelet of the Free University of Brussels and others confirms that international marriages have not risen as much as one might have expected in Europe. On her calculations, rates of marriages with a person from another European Union country have been flat in Belgium and the Netherlands since 2000 and shown only a modest rise in Spain. Marriage rates between Swiss and EU citizens have also not budged. True, marriages with foreigners have increased sharply in Spain—but that was because of a spurt of marriages with non-EU citizens: Spain had huge immigration flows from Latin America during the 1990s and 2000s. By implication, the closer integration that the EU is supposed to be bringing about seems to be having no discernible impact on the marriage choices of Dutch, Belgian and Spanish citizens.
布鲁塞尔自由大学的Suzana Koelet等人对欧洲四国的研究结果证实国际婚姻在欧洲的发展状况并不是大家想象中的一夜暴涨,朝夕之间增长至此。根据她其他的计算结果,在比利时和荷兰,婚姻中一方来自欧盟其他成员国的增长情况并不景气,而在西班牙只呈现小幅整张。瑞士人和欧盟公民的结婚几率也并未改变。在西班牙,跨国婚姻虽然大幅增长,但是却不是欧盟成员国公民的功劳:上世纪末和这个世纪初,1990到2010年间,规模浩大的的拉美移民潮涌入西班牙。这才是真正的原因。这意味着,加入欧盟而带来的进一步社会融合似乎对荷兰、比利时和西班牙的婚姻选择没有明显的影响。
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