交易员们预计,美国农业部下周公布一项受到密切关注的供需预测时将再次调低对玉米产量的预期。上月,美国农业部已将玉米产量预期调低了12%,至129.7亿蒲式耳。
Greg Page, chief executive of Cargill, the world’s largest trader of agricultural commodities, said in a CNBC interview that the US crop could now be “perhaps 11bn [bushels] or less.
世界最大的农业大宗商品交易商美国嘉吉公司(Cargill)的首席执行官格雷格·佩吉(Greg Page)在接受CNBC采访时表示,美国的玉米产量现在“可能只有110亿(蒲式耳)甚至更少。
He warned: “I think the problem is serious.
他警告称:“我认为这个问题很严重。
Goldman Sachs last week cut its forecast for the US crop to 10.75bn bushels and predicted prices of $9 a bushel, while some traders say prices could rise even higher.
上周,高盛将其对美国玉米产量的预期调低至107.5亿蒲式耳,并预言玉米价格将达到每蒲式耳9美元。一些交易员表示,玉米价格可能会升得比这还高。
“I think we’re headed to $9, said a senior trader. “$10 or $11 is possible.
一位资深交易员说:“我认为我们正在朝9美元看齐,10美元甚至11美元也是有可能的。
But traders say that the market could see a sharp price reversal, particularly if the US government were to relax regulations that mandate ethanol production from corn. “Just if they announce that there may be a change of legislation, I think will put the market limit down, another trading house executive said.
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