由于中国对海外投资者施以种种限制,中国股目前仅占摩根士丹利资本国际全球指数(MSCI World index)的2%。若将时间快进到10年后,届时中国股占该指数的比例预计将达到约9%。
This structural shift will be driven by organic market growth and the internationalisation of the A-share market. By this point the asset class is likely to be one that institutional investors cannot ignore.
这种结构性转型将受到市场有机增长和A股市场国际化的推动。就这点而言,A股很可能会成为机构投资者不能忽视的资产类别之一。
Underpinning the long-term story, the short-term outlook also looks positive. Having historically traded at a premium to the H-share market, following a tough couple of years, the A-share market is now trading at potentially attractive levels.
不但长期前景有保障,短期前景也很乐观。以往,A股相对H股存在溢价,但在经历了两三年的困难期之后,现在A股市场的价格可能到了有吸引力的价位。
Price/book valuations are close to historic lows, even though corporate profitability is improving structurally. At the same time, the macro-economic background looks supportive, as inflation is falling and the policy easing cycle has begun.
A股的市账率正逼近历史最低水平,尽管公司盈利能力正呈现结构性改善。同时,随着通胀回落和政策放松周期启动,宏观经济基本面看来也是利好。
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2020-09-15
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2020-09-15