Gazprom, the natural gas company controlled by the Russian state, is in crisis. It is likely to fall victim to the shale gas revolution that is under way across the US. The shale gas revolution will probably have telling consequences for Russian state capitalism and President Vladimir Putin’s power.
国家控股的俄罗斯天然气工业股份公司(Gazprom)陷入了危机。此次危机可能源于目前全美兴起的页岩气革命。这场革命很可能会对俄罗斯的国家资本主义制度和总统弗拉基米尔·普京(Vladimir Putin)的统治造成严重影响。
This crisis erupted suddenly. With its surge in shale gas production the US has become self-sufficient in natural gas. It has overtaken Russia as the biggest natural gas producer. Crucially, US natural gas is cheap. Domestic US natural gas prices are only a quarter of Gazprom’s oil-linked eastern European prices. Such large price differentials cannot possibly last for long.
这是一场突如其来的危机。由于页岩气产量激增,美国在天然气方面已实现了自给自足。如今它已取代俄罗斯,成为全球最大的天然气生产国。关键是,美国天然气价格很便宜。美国国内天然气价格只有Gazprom向东欧出口天然气价格的四分之一,后者价格与油价相挂钩。如此悬殊的价格差不可能持续太久。
Many countries had prepared to produce liquefied natural gas for export to the US. Now these large volumes of LNG are being diverted to Europe, where spot prices have fallen to half of Gazprom’s prices. In Germany, Gazprom has been forced to accept large price cuts, but it insists on maintaining high contracted prices in eastern Europe, although oil and gas prices have delinked on the market.
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