"It is not a race between these two parties at this point, it is a public relations battle," Mauro Calise, an author and political scientist at Federico II University in Naples, said in an interview. "For the time being, Di Maio and Renzi have to be concerned about keeping their own parties together. They can't afford to let them erode."
Considering there are still months to go before the holding of the election scheduled in the first half of next year, and another key factor, the new electoral law, is still pending, analysts say it's hard now to predict Italy's political landscape after the election.
Italian political parties have been discussing a new electoral law for more than two years. When completed, it will include rules on how power will be divided up after the vote, including potential bonus seats in parliament for the most successful party. The goal is to make Italy's notoriously unstable political system more stable.
"Until we have a new electoral law we cannot know what to expect in the elections," Arianna Montanari, a professor of sociology of politics at Rome's La Sapienza University, told Xinhua. "In regard to the vote, we're also speculating about something that could be six months away, or longer. A lot can happen in that time frame."
The best guess is that the electoral law will be finalized late in the year or perhaps in the first few weeks of 2018.
It is unlikely that any party will win at least 50 percent of the vote, which means barring an electoral law that provides a large bonus for the top party, some coalitions will have to be formed. That could put Berlusconi's Forza Italia, the Northern League, or some of the smaller parties into influential roles.
【国际英语资讯:News Analysis: Major candidates for election in place, political landscape remains confusing】相关文章:
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