The International Monetary Fund delivered avaluable imprimatur of respectability to Beijing lastweek, when it declared that its exchange rate wasprobably no longer undervalued. The assessmentwas not a surprise: respected independent outfitssuch as the Peterson Institute and the consultancyOxford Economics have been saying similar for awhile.
国际货币基金组织(IMF)近日宣布人民币汇率很可能不再被低估,这相当于对北京的声誉予以了宝贵的认可。这样的评估结果不算出人意料:包括彼得森国际经济研究所(PetersonInstitute)与咨询机构牛津经济研究院(Oxford Economics)在内,许多受尊敬的独立机构一段时间以来就一再表达了类似的看法。
The judgment increases the already rising probability that the renminbi might be included inthe units that make up Special Drawing Rights (SDR), commonly though inaccurately known asthe IMF’s currency, when the composition of the basket is reassessed later this year. Someregard this as a pivotal moment in the internationalisation of the renminbi. But history suggeststhat, while it may be symbolically important, membership of the SDR is neither necessary norsufficient for the renminbi’s acceptance as a global reserve currency.
IMF的结论提高了一种本来就在不断上升的可能性:今年晚些时候IMF重新评估特别提款权(SDR)货币篮子的构成时,有可能决定将人民币纳入这个篮子。所谓SDR,也就是人们常说的IMF货币,虽然这种叫法并不准确。有些人认为,这将是人民币国际化进程中的一个关键时刻。但历史经验表明,虽然加入SDR或许具有重要的象征意义,但对于人民币成为一种公认的全球储备货币来说,这既非必要条件,也非充分条件。
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