The assumption that Mr Putin is hugely popular with the Russian people — who endorse hisever more militaristic foreign policy — deserves more scrutiny than it receives from westernpolitical, academic and media circles. First, a system of government that restricts politicalcompetition and controls freedom of expression as methodically as in Russia is not a systemwhere popularity means what it does in the west.
对于认为普京在俄罗斯民间(俄罗斯人支持普京日趋军国主义的外交政策)人气极高的假设,西方政治、学术和媒体圈应该加强观察和研究。首先,在一个像俄罗斯那样系统性地限制政治竞争、控制言论自由的政体中,人气的内涵与西方是不同的。
Second, Russians are little different from everyone else in judging their rulers by how theyimprove or harm the quality of life. What mainly matters is a government’s economic andsocial record, not its foreign policy adventures, which can be exciting but tend after a while tofade in attractiveness.
第二,在以自己的生活品质得到改善还是受到损害来评判统治者方面,俄罗斯人和其他国家的人民没什么不同。真正重要的是政府的经济和社会功绩,而不是外交政策冒险,后者可能令人兴奋,但往往会在一段时间后逐渐丧失吸引力。
Russia’s economy suffers from a shrinking labour force, woeful productivity, over-dependence on natural resources, too little investment and innovation, capital flight,ubiquitous corruption and a wretched parody of the rule of law. Measures that mightminimise the impact of these deficiencies on Russian living standards are unimaginable, for theywould require less confrontation with the west and less stifling domestic political conditions.
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