俄罗斯吞并克里米亚时,数以百万计的俄罗斯人热烈拥护,甚至比2008年8月俄罗斯对格鲁吉亚动武的支持度更高。2014年3月,接受列瓦达中心(Levada-Center,俄罗斯最有声望的民意调查机构)调查的人中,约有58%的人支持吞并有俄罗斯族少数民族居住的邻国部分地区。然而到了今年3月,这一数字已降至34%。与此同时,64%的俄罗斯人——高于2009年的56%——反对使用包括武力在内的任何手段将前苏联加盟共和国置于莫斯科的控制之下。
Such surveys show that the Russian public does not blindly follow the Kremlin in all respects.Much opinion appears receptive to the western concept of international relations as a civil andcommercial sphere as much as a political and military arena. The west should encourage thisoutlook by keeping channels open to Russian society.
这些调查表明,俄罗斯公众并非在所有方面都盲目跟从克里姆林宫。许多舆论似乎能够接受西方的国际关系理念——国际关系既是政治和军事的舞台,也是民间和商业往来的领域。西方应该保持与俄罗斯社会连通的渠道畅通,以鼓励这种看法。
We must be realistic. Mr Putin and his entourage are not beholden to a freely electedlegislature or to public opinion in the manner of a western government. They have travelled sofar down the road of internal and external confrontation that it will be hard to pull back.Fixed on burnishing Russia’s global prestige, smashing their domestic critics and reaping theprivate rewards of public office, they will serve us, for the time being, the same drearypropaganda diet about a hostile, degenerate west and its fifth columnist stooges.
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