美国是世界舞台上处于领导地位的大国,所以这个问题不只是美国国内民众会关心。
What might a Trump presidency mean? Forecasting the policies of someone so uNPRedictable is impossible.
特朗普当选总统可能意味着什么?要预测一个如此难以预测之人的政策,是绝无可能的。
But a few things seem at least reasonably clear.
但有几点至少是相当明确的。
The US and its allies remain immensely powerful.
美国及其盟友仍然非常强大。
But their economic dominance is in slow decline.
但它们的经济主导地位正在缓慢下降。
According to the International Monetary Fund, the share of the high-income countries (essentially, the US and its chief allies) will fall from 64 per cent of global output (measured at purchasing power) in 1990 to 39 per cent in 2020, while the US share will fall from 22 per cent to 15 per cent over this period.
国际货币基金组织(IMF)数据显示,高收入国家(基本上就是美国及其主要盟友)占全球产出的比例(按购买力计算)将从1990年的64%下降到2020年的39%,而同期美国的占比将从22%下降至15%。
While the US military might is still huge, two caveats must be made.
尽管美国的军力仍然强大,但有两点需要说明。
One is that winning a conventional war is quite a different matter from achieving one’s aims on the ground, as the Viet-nam and Iraq wars showed.
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