Imagine a time when all undesirable work is done by automated systems or robots. What would it mean? Would there be a financial crisis? What would happen to labour and capital?
想象一下,假如有一天,自动化系统或机器人承担了所有人类不愿意做的工作。那将意味着什么?到那个时候,还会发生金融危机吗?劳动力和资本将发生怎样的变化?
These are some of the deeper questions economists are asking when not preoccupied by short-term worries about the fiscal cliff, a Chinese slowdown or the eurozone.
在为美国的财政悬崖、中国的经济减速、欧元区危机等近忧操心之余,经济学家会思考一些更深刻的问题,比如上述那些。
At the heart of their inquiry lies an assumption: that technology will improve no matter what. Ever since Gordon Moore predicted in 1965 that the number of transistors on a microchip would double every two years, it has been a hard presumption to ignore. The theory, which was dubbed Moore’s law on account of its accuracy, is still to be disproved.
这些问题的核心是一个假设,即:技术无论如何都会不断进步。戈登·摩尔(Gordon Moore)在1965年曾预言,每一个微芯片上集成的晶体管数量每两年将翻一番。自那以后,“技术无论如何都会不断进步这个假设就一直不容忽视。摩尔的预言因其准确性而被称为“摩尔定律,这一定律迄今为止仍然未被推翻。
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